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Spread · NSH · @ MTL · Predators at Canadiens
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK★ Best | 1.5 | -1801.56 | +1522.52 |
This scores 45: it earned 15 of 45 for expected value at this price and 22.6 of 25 for sharp agreement, but it failed our edge test.
Weights: EV 45 · Sharp 25 · Consensus 20 · Confidence 10 · Kill signals -12 each. Clamped 0-100. Tiers: 90+ PRESS, 75-89 STRONG, 60-74 LEAN, 50-59 WATCH, <50 PASS.
Note: the Sharp component only credits an external anchor (Kalshi / Polymarket), which player props do not have, so a prop scores 0 of 25 there no matter how good it is. That is a known flaw in this version of the score, not a judgement about this play. Read the Confidence panel above for the number that actually grades this card against its price.
No reported absences.
Graded off the ESPN box score. No cherry-picking, no removed losses.
Recent form is context, not signal. A team on a heater can still be the wrong side of the number. Cross-check with the projection above.