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Spread · BUF · @ TOR · Sabres at Maple Leafs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| FD★ Best | 1.5 | -2351.43 | +2003.00 |
This scores 72: it earned 20.1 of 45 for expected value at this price and 25 of 25 for sharp agreement and 20 of 20 for clearing the edge test.
Weights: EV 45 · Sharp 25 · Consensus 20 · Confidence 10 · Kill signals -12 each. Clamped 0-100. Tiers: 90+ PRESS, 75-89 STRONG, 60-74 LEAN, 50-59 WATCH, <50 PASS.
Note: the Sharp component only credits an external anchor (Kalshi / Polymarket), which player props do not have, so a prop scores 0 of 25 there no matter how good it is. That is a known flaw in this version of the score, not a judgement about this play. Read the Confidence panel above for the number that actually grades this card against its price.
Recent form is context, not signal. A team on a heater can still be the wrong side of the number. Cross-check with the projection above.