Penguins
PIT@
COL
COLLEAN
9:00 PM ETSpread
FD
-128
1.78
+8c60 pulls
PIT +1.5
our side
61%
win
+7.1pp
ACC
-
Team market: no player game-log windows. Form and matchup detail on the card page.
NHL · 9:00 PM ET
Penguins @ Avalanche
Cards
8
Top Alpha Score
74
PRESS
0
Sharp source
KALSHI
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| PIT | 35% | 2.90 |
| COL | 66% | 1.53 |
Total goals · market line 6.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 91% | 1.10 | 9% | 10.53 |
| 4.5 | 84% | 1.19 | 16% | 6.25 |
| 5.5 | 64% | 1.57 | 37% | 2.74 |
| 6.5 | 52% | 1.92 | 48% | 2.08 |
| 7.5 | 32% | 3.13 | 68% | 1.47 |
| 8.5 | 23% | 4.35 | 77% | 1.30 |
| 9.5 | 12% | 8.70 | 89% | 1.13 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 1.5 | 45% | 2.25 |
| COL | 2.5 | 32% | 3.17 |
| PIT | 1.5 | 18% | 5.71 |
| PIT | 2.5 | 11% | 9.09 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand undergoals
73% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.38: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minPIT
Other · 3
- Trevor van Riemsdyk?ir
- Justin Brazeau?Brazeau (lower body) was placed on injured reserve by the Penguins on Sunday.
- Ryan Graves?Graves (lower body) is out indefinitely and was placed on injured reserve Sunday.
COL
Questionable / DTD · 2
- Nicolas RoyDTDday-to-day
- Zachary L'HeureuxDTDday-to-day
Other · 2
- Logan O'Connor?O'Connor (lower body/personal) was transferred to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.
- Georgii Merkulov?Merkulov (undisclosed) was put on non-roster injured reserve Monday.
Spread
Goals
Rickard Rakell
PIT@COL
COLLEAN
9:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
-360
1.28
+10cSteam46 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
83%
win
+100.0%
L5
100%
5/5
L10
100%
7/7
L20
100%
7/7
SZN
100%
7/7
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Bryan Rust
PIT@COL
COLWATCH
9:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
-400
1.25
flat46 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
78%
win
+14.0%
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Sidney Crosby
PIT@COL
COLWATCH
9:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
-350
1.29
+20cSteam46 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
75%
win
+12.0%
L5
80%
4/5
L10
86%
6/7
L20
86%
6/7
SZN
86%
6/7
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Evgeni Malkin
PIT@COL
COLWATCH
9:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
-440
1.23
flat46 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
79%
win
+22.0%
L5
80%
4/5
L10
57%
4/7
L20
57%
4/7
SZN
57%
4/7
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Nathan MacKinnon
COLvsPIT
PITPASS
9:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
-120
1.83
-5c46 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
48%
win
+40.0%
L5
40%
2/5
L10
43%
3/7
L20
43%
3/7
SZN
43%
3/7
H2H
-
ACC
31%
n=4854
Martin Necas
COLvsPIT
PITPASS
9:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
+155
2.55
+10cSteam46 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
34%
win
+22.0%
L5
20%
1/5
L10
29%
2/7
L20
29%
2/7
SZN
29%
2/7
H2H
-
ACC
31%
n=4854
Brock Nelson
COLvsPIT
PITPASS
9:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
+240
3.40
+10cSteam46 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
25%
win
+4.0%
L5
40%
2/5
L10
43%
3/7
L20
43%
3/7
SZN
43%
3/7
H2H
-
ACC
31%
n=4854